Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004829 0.005322 0.005854 0.006473 0.007176 0.007952 0.008877
2025-08-10 0.003980 0.004648 0.005425 0.006402 0.007609 0.009064 0.010973
2025-08-17 0.003544 0.004300 0.005222 0.006444 0.008045 0.010101 0.012997
2025-08-24 0.003187 0.003981 0.004986 0.006374 0.008280 0.010861 0.014719
2025-08-31 0.002863 0.003660 0.004700 0.006186 0.008306 0.011305 0.016026
2025-09-07 0.002659 0.003471 0.004561 0.006169 0.008548 0.012059 0.017871
2025-09-14 0.002553 0.003403 0.004574 0.006357 0.009095 0.013314 0.020675
2025-09-21 0.002372 0.003212 0.004396 0.006242 0.009163 0.013822 0.022313
2025-09-28 0.002212 0.003039 0.004226 0.006120 0.009199 0.014274 0.023909
2025-10-05 0.002100 0.002927 0.004136 0.006109 0.009408 0.015028 0.026166
2025-10-12 0.002031 0.002872 0.004127 0.006222 0.009828 0.016194 0.029407
2025-10-19 0.001927 0.002758 0.004016 0.006160 0.009936 0.016805 0.031634
2025-10-26 0.001838 0.002665 0.003940 0.006156 0.010168 0.017711 0.034749
2025-11-02 0.001743 0.002556 0.003830 0.006090 0.010281 0.018413 0.037585
2025-11-09 0.001677 0.002490 0.003785 0.006129 0.010593 0.019551 0.041688
2025-11-16 0.001598 0.002396 0.003687 0.006063 0.010693 0.020261 0.044912
2025-11-23 0.001504 0.002275 0.003534 0.005886 0.010553 0.020434 0.046787
2025-11-30 0.001446 0.002209 0.003472 0.005870 0.010736 0.021346 0.050883
2025-12-07 0.001425 0.002202 0.003510 0.006047 0.011337 0.023305 0.058498
2025-12-14 0.001359 0.002117 0.003405 0.005939 0.011318 0.023791 0.061854
2025-12-21 0.001297 0.002035 0.003302 0.005824 0.011274 0.024210 0.065127
2025-12-28 0.001254 0.001984 0.003252 0.005815 0.011461 0.025239 0.070731
2026-01-04 0.001231 0.001966 0.003260 0.005921 0.011924 0.027064 0.079723